http://doi.org/10.35668/2520-6524-2024-1-05
Chepurna N. V. — PhD in Technical Sciences, Associate Professor of the Department of Heat Engineering, Kyiv National University of Construction and Architecture, Povitroflotskyi Ave, 31, Kyiv, Ukraine, 03037; +38(044) 245-48-44; chepurna.nv@knuba.edu.ua; ORCID: 0000-0001-8044-7563
Hlamazdin V. P. — Integration Expert of National Power Company Ukrenergo, ENTSO-E, S. Petliury Str., 25, Kyiv, Ukraine, 01601; vadym.glamazdin@gmail.com; ORCID: 0000-0003-3459-3249
Tonkoholosiuk V. M. — Deputy Director in Research Center: Energy & Politics LLC, 9, Lavrska str. Kyiv, Ukraine, 01015; +38 (044) 280-64-57; v.tonkogolosyuk@gmail.com; ORCID: 0000-0003-4469-422X
Melnyk A. O. — Postgraduate Student, Taras Shevchenko National University of Kyiv, 4-d, Akademika Glushkova Avenue, Kyiv, Ukraine, 02000; +38 (044) 521-35-35; melinik2011@gmail.com; ORCID: 0000-0002-3167-4353
DEVELOPMENT OF THE ELECTRICAL ENERGY SECTOR OF UKRAINE IN THE MEDIUM-TERM PERSPECTIVE
Abstract. The study proposes and substantiates conceptual directions for the development of the electric power sector of Ukraine in the medium term.
The strategic mistakes that were made during the formation of the electric power sector of Ukraine during the Soviet Union were identified and analyzed. An analysis of changes in the structure of electricity consumption was carried out — both by consumer category and geographically. A conceptual approach to the development of UES through the decentralization of generation sources is proposed. A stochastic mathematical model was developed, with the help of which the necessary forecast volumes of the introduction of new generating capacities to ensure domestic consumption were calculated for the period up to 2028. An analysis of the choice of technological solutions for the further development of the electric power sector was carried out.
Keywords: electricity sector, electricity production, electricity consumption, traditional and renewable energy sources, decentralization.
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